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Recursive forecasting: Eliciting long-term forecasts from myopic fitness-seekers
🤖Artificial Intelligence

Recursive forecasting: Eliciting long-term forecasts from myopic fitness-seekers

Home/Artificial Intelligence/Recursive forecasting: Eliciting long-term forecasts from myopic fitness-seekers

We’d like to use powerful AIs to answer questions that may take a long time to resolve. But if a model only cares about performing well in ways that are verifiable shortly after answering (e.g., a myopic fitness seeker), it may be difficult to get useful work from it on questions that resolve much l

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📅 Apr 28, 2026·⏱ 17 min read·AI Alignment Forum ↗
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