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Only 3% of traders drive prediction markets' accuracy, not the crowd, study finds
โ‚ฟCrypto & Web3

Only 3% of traders drive prediction markets' accuracy, not the crowd, study finds

Home/Crypto & Web3/Only 3% of traders drive prediction markets' accuracy, not the crowd, study finds

Researchers show market accuracy comes from a tiny group of informed traders, not broad participation.

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Sam Reynolds

๐Ÿ“… Apr 26, 2026ยทโฑ 1 min readยทCoinDesk โ†—
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https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/26/only-3-of-traders-drive-prediction-markets-accuracy-not-the-crowd-study-finds
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